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Cards Wire 13 segments
0:15
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 19 claims 30 Oct 2026

ECB forecasters raise 2026-27 inflation outlook on energy prices

The ECB's Q4 2026 Survey of Professional Forecasters shows near-term inflation and growth expectations revised upward, driven mainly by energy prices. This matters for anyone tracking the ECB's policy trajectory, since longer-term anchoring at 2.0% suggests the Governing Council may read this as a transitory shock rather than a structural shift.

  • Headline HICP inflation expectations stand at 3.0% for 2026, 2.6% for 2027 and 2.0% for 2028, revised up by 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points for 2026 and 2027 respectively.
  • Longer-term inflation expectations for 2031 remain anchored at 2.0% for both headline and core inflation.
  • Real GDP growth expectations were revised up to 1.0% in 2026, with 1.3% expected in both 2027 and 2028.
  • Unemployment rate expectations rose slightly to 6.4% for 2026 before declining gradually to 6.1% in the longer term.
  • The survey was conducted between 2 and 7 October 2026 and received 52 responses from experts at financial and non-financial institutions in Europe.
Source document
0:15
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 26 claims 29 Oct 2026

ECB confirms Europe's move to T+1 settlement on 11 October 2027

ECB board member Piero Cipollone used a keynote to an EU T+1 Industry Committee event to pin down the date, sequencing and supporting infrastructure for Europe's shift from T+2 to T+1 securities settlement, and to frame it within the Eurosystem's broader tokenisation work. For treasury, operations and post-trade teams, this is the clearest public statement yet of what the Eurosystem will change and when.

  • Europe will move to T+1 securities settlement on 11 October 2027, halving the trade-to-settlement window to one day.
  • T2S changes, including to the night-time settlement process, are planned for June 2027 ahead of the October migration.
  • Pontes, live since 21 September, will extend operating hours by mid-2027 and move to 24/7/365 availability in 2028, with immediate settlement finality targeted as early as next year.
  • The Eurosystem has accepted DLT-based marketable assets as eligible collateral since 30 March and is assessing extending eligibility to assets outside currently eligible settlement systems.
  • Appia aims to deliver a blueprint for an integrated European tokenised finance ecosystem by 2028, with a consultation report published on 28 October.
Source document
3:07
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 27 claims 29 Oct 2026

ECB holds rates as inflation hits 3.8% on energy price shock

The ECB left its three key rates unchanged at its October meeting as an intensifying energy shock pushes headline inflation further above the 2% target while clouding the growth outlook. This statement sets out the Governing Council's reasoning and the risks it is weighing before its next move.

  • Inflation rose to 3.8% in September from 3.2% in August, with energy inflation up to 18.9% from 14.3%.
  • Inflation excluding energy rose to 2.3% in September from 2.1% in August, and services inflation rose to 3.2% from 3.0%.
  • The unemployment rate remained at 6.4% in August, with compensation per employee growth slowing to 3.3% in the second quarter from 3.6% in the first.
  • Bank lending rates for firms remained at 3.8% while the cost of market-based debt for firms rose to 4.1% in August from 4.0% in July.
  • Credit standards for loans to firms tightened in the third quarter, according to the ECB's latest bank lending survey, while corporate loan demand declined.
Source document
play
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 16 claims 29 Oct 2026

ECB holds deposit rate at 2.50% as energy shock clouds inflation outlook

The ECB's Governing Council met on 29 October 2026 and left its three key interest rates unchanged. This briefing covers the stated rationale, the balance of risks the Council identified, and what its data-dependent stance signals for the coming meetings. Relevant for treasury, markets and governance teams tracking euro area financing conditions.

  • The deposit facility, main refinancing operations and marginal lending facility rates remain unchanged at 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90% respectively.
  • The Governing Council said the energy shock's increased magnitude and duration, and its indirect and second-round effects, are likely to drive up inflation and lower growth.
  • Financing conditions have tightened since the Governing Council's last meeting, which is likely to weigh on inflation and growth.
  • The APP and PEPP portfolios are declining as the Eurosystem no longer reinvests principal payments from maturing securities.
  • The Governing Council confirmed it is not pre-committing to a particular rate path and will proceed meeting by meeting.
Source document
3:10
AFM AFM Netherlands Source document ↗
European Union AFM Netherlands Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 13 claims 28 Oct 2026

AFM tells firms to start T+1 testing as EU rulebook is finalised

The AFM relays ESMA's message that the European regulatory framework for T+1 settlement is now complete and the burden has shifted to implementation. With roughly a year to go before the 11 October 2027 go-live, firms are urged to finish their preparations, test operational readiness across the chain, and meet the first binding obligations that take effect in December 2026.

  • The EU moves to T+1 settlement on 11 October 2027, settling trades one business day after the trade date instead of two.
  • ESMA regards the regulatory framework as complete following publication of the final technical standards and guidelines.
  • The first new obligations for transaction allocations and confirmations take effect on 7 December 2026.
  • ESMA urges firms to assess operational readiness and begin testing across the trading and settlement chain as soon as possible.
  • The change affects banks, investment funds, investment firms, pension providers and insurers.
Source document
3:19
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 20 claims 26 Oct 2026

Euro area firms report wider bank loan financing gap in Q3 2026 SAFE

The ECB's quarterly SAFE survey tracks how euro area firms, mostly SMEs, experience bank lending conditions. This round shows rates and collateral terms tightening further while loan availability fell faster than financing needs. A large sample composition change means the usual price and inflation expectation readings need caution this quarter.

  • A net 46% of firms reported higher bank loan interest rates in Q3 2026, up from 42% in Q2, with large firms reporting increases more often (net 55%) than SMEs (net 38%).
  • Bank loan availability declined by a net 5% in Q3 2026, compared with a net 1% decline in Q2, while financing needs fell by only a net 2%.
  • The resulting bank loan financing gap indicator stood at a net 2%, versus a net 3% in the previous quarter, meaning availability contracted faster than demand.
  • Collateral requirements tightened to a net 14%, up from 10% in the prior round, even as other financing cost increases (fees, charges, commissions) eased to a net 27% from 31%.
  • The survey sample changed substantially this round, with first-time respondents forming the majority of 12,822 enterprises surveyed, complicating interpretation of selling price and inflation expectation data.
Source document
0:15
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 25 claims 23 Oct 2026

Euro area consumers see inflation ticking up, growth outlook deteriorating

The ECB's monthly Consumer Expectations Survey tracks euro area households' views on inflation, income, growth and housing, feeding directly into policy analysis. This release covers September 2026 fieldwork and shows a notable widening gap between rising price expectations and weakening growth sentiment, worth watching for anyone tracking consumer demand or credit conditions.

  • Median perceived inflation over the past 12 months rose to 3.6% in September from 3.5% in August, with 12-month-ahead expectations up to 3.1% from 3.0%.
  • Expectations for economic growth over the next 12 months fell to -1.5% in September from -1.2% in August.
  • Expected unemployment rate 12 months ahead increased to 11.3% from 11.0%, with the bottom income quintile expecting 13.6% versus 9.7% for the top quintile.
  • Expected mortgage interest rates in 12 months' time stayed at 4.9%, while home price growth expectations rose to 3.5% from 3.4%.
  • The net percentage of households reporting tighter credit access, both over the past 12 months and expected ahead, increased compared with August.
Source document
0:15
CFSH Croatian Financial Services Supervisory Agency (HANFA) Source document ↗
European Union Croatian Financial Services Supervisory Agency (HANFA) Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 16 claims 21 Oct 2026

HANFA flags T+1 settlement switch as EU completes regulatory framework

Croatia's HANFA relays an ESMA notice marking completion of the regulatory framework for the EU's shift to T+1 securities settlement. It sets out an interim deadline in December 2026 and urges market participants to begin testing now, a year ahead of the full transition.

  • The EU will move to a T+1 settlement cycle on 11 October 2027.
  • Investment firms and their clients must align allocation and confirmation processes with new requirements by 7 December 2026.
  • From 7 December 2026, use of electronic and standardised communication channels and international messaging standards becomes mandatory.
  • Machine-readable communication methods are required except in cases of temporary technical difficulties.
  • ESMA's Regulatory Technical Standards and revised Guidelines on standardised procedures and communication protocols now complete the regulatory framework.
Source document
0:15
EURE Eurex Source document ↗
European Union Eurex Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 18 claims 19 Oct 2026

Eurex to launch centrally cleared Japanese single-stock and dividend futures on 2 November

Eurex is opening its equity financing product suite in Japan, the last major developed market it had not covered, and its first move into Asia Pacific equity derivatives. The new single-stock futures and single-stock dividend futures are pitched as a centrally cleared, capital-efficient alternative to bilateral OTC equity swaps. For anyone running Japanese equity financing books, this is a structural shift worth a few minutes.

  • Trading in Japanese SSFs and SSDFs begins on 2 November 2026 with 10 leading Nikkei 225 names selected in consultation with clients and partners.
  • Further phases through 2027 will progressively expand coverage to the majority of Nikkei 225 constituents, driven by client demand and operational readiness.
  • All transactions are executed on Eurex's regulated market and centrally cleared through Eurex Clearing, with no ISDA master agreement required.
  • SSDFs are available in JPY and SSFs in both JPY and USD, with the contracts trading 21 hours a day from 08:15 SGT/09:15 JST.
  • Eurex states it is the first market infrastructure to offer centrally cleared futures on individual Japanese stocks.
Source document
0:15
RWE Regulus Weekend Edition Source document ↗
European Union Regulus Weekend Edition Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 17 claims 18 Oct 2026

Binding dates kept arriving before the headline events firms filed them under

Five regulators set clocks this week, and in almost every case the date that bites first was not the headline event. ESMA's T+1 framework is the clearest example, but the pattern runs through Basel's G-SIB fix, AMLA's Frankfurt roundtables and the ISDA FX cutover. This is a read on how to calendar a week like this one.

  • ESMA fixed 7 December 2026 as the first binding T+1 deadline for electronic, standardised and machine-readable allocation and confirmation messaging, almost a year before settlement shortens on 11 October 2027.
  • Basel's G-SIB reporting and disclosure threshold rises from EUR 200 billion to EUR 350 billion in leverage ratio exposure measure from 2027, while annual-average indicator calculation is deferred to 1 January 2030.
  • AMLA's in-person Frankfurt simplified-CDD expression-of-interest window closed 18 October 2026 at 23h59 CEST, with roundtables running 9 November to 2 December 2026.
  • ISDA's 2026 FX Definitions take over in November 2027, after which the 1998 definitions cease to apply, with a SWIFT change request already submitted before the 4 June deadline.
  • ABA, BPI, CBA and ICBA asked the Fed to move its 30 November stablecoin comment deadline to 29 January, a decision still pending.
Source document
0:15
RWE Regulus Weekend Edition Source document ↗
European Union Regulus Weekend Edition Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 33 claims 18 Oct 2026

ESMA's 7 December messaging mandate tops a week of early-biting deadlines

Five regulators set clocks this week, and in several cases the date that binds first was not the headline event. We rank what a compliance officer must act on: ESMA's T+1 messaging mandate, Basel's G-SIB window-dressing fix, Elderson's climate-coverage disclosure, the SEC's move on Rule 14a-8, and a two-agency US PERM settlement. The recurring discipline is to calendar each regime from its earliest operative date.

  • From 7 December 2026 EU investment firms must use electronic, standardised and machine-readable allocation and confirmation messaging, ahead of T+1 settlement on 11 October 2027.
  • Basel's G-SIB reporting threshold rises to EUR 350 billion from 2027, while the annual-averaging calculation basis is deferred to 1 January 2030 and the EBU consultation closes 14 January 2027.
  • ECB Vice-Chair Frank Elderson said on 14 October that climate stress tests cover all banks' own material risk drivers in only around 15% of cases.
  • Cloudera was debarred from the PERM program for two years and will pay a $1.4 million back-pay fund plus $600,000 in civil penalties, the fourteenth settlement since DOJ's 2025 relaunch.
  • The SEC proposed rescinding Rule 14a-8, arguing the shareholder-proposal rule exceeds its statutory authority, with comment open for 60 days after Federal Register publication.
Source document
0:15
ESMA ESMA Source document ↗
European Union ESMA Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 18 claims 18 Oct 2026

ESMA completes T+1 rulebook, sets 7 December 2026 as first compliance deadline

ESMA has published the final piece of the regulatory framework for the EU's move to T+1 securities settlement, confirming an 11 October 2027 switchover. The briefing matters because the first binding obligation arrives sooner, on 7 December 2026, when investment firms and their clients must meet new allocation and confirmation requirements. This covers what is now fixed and what firms must do next.

  • The EU will switch to T+1 settlement on 11 October 2027, with the regulatory framework now complete.
  • From 7 December 2026, investment firms and their clients must comply with new allocation and confirmation requirements.
  • Those requirements mandate electronic, standardised communication channels, international messaging standards and machine-readable methods, except during temporary technical disruptions.
  • ESMA has published the RTS and revised Guidelines on standardised procedures and messaging protocols, and published a final report under reference ESMA74-2119945926-3749.
Source document
0:15
ECB European Central Bank Source document ↗
European Union European Central Bank Markets & Infrastructure ✓ 24 claims 18 Oct 2026

ECB securities financing survey records fourth straight quarter of easing credit terms

The ECB's quarterly SESFOD survey covers how 26 large banks set credit terms in euro-denominated securities financing and OTC derivatives markets. This round shows a fourth consecutive quarter of slight easing, concentrated in pricing, alongside rising valuation disputes in parts of the derivatives market. It is a useful read on how dealers are pricing counterparty risk heading into a period of geopolitical uncertainty.

  • Overall credit terms and conditions eased slightly for all counterparty types for a fourth consecutive quarter, mainly through price terms.
  • Non-price terms eased slightly for banks and dealers but tightened slightly for hedge funds, whose use of leverage increased slightly.
  • Demand for securities financing rose across most collateral types, led by equities at a net 27% of respondents, while haircuts fell for most bond collateral and asset-backed securities.
  • Initial margin requirements decreased slightly for FX, interest rate, equity and several credit derivative types, while valuation disputes increased for several derivative types, particularly credit derivatives.
  • Results are based on responses from 26 large banks, comprising 14 euro area banks and 12 with head offices outside the euro area.
Source document